transmission is reached, said WHO's Western Pacific director, Shin Young-soo.
"At a certain point, there will seem to be an explosion in case numbers," Shin told a symposium of health officials and experts in Beijing. "It is certain there will be more cases and more deaths."
WHO has declared the swine flu strain a pandemic, and it has killed almost 1,800 people worldwide through last week. International attention has focused on how the pandemic is progressing in southern hemisphere countries such as Australia, which are experiencing winter and their flu season. But it is in developing countries where the accelerated spread of swine flu poses the greatest threat as it places underequipped and underfunded health systems under severe strain, Shin said.
WHO earlier estimated that as many as 2 billion people could become infected over the next two years - nearly one-third of the world's population. Health officials and drug makers are looking into ways to speed up production of a vaccine before the northern hemisphere enters its flu season in coming months. Estimates for when a vaccine will be available range from September to December.
"We only have a short time period to reach the state of preparedness deemed necessary," Shin said. "Communities must be aware before a pandemic strikes as to what they can do to reduce the spread of the virus, and how to obtain early treatment of severe cases."
Pregnant women face a higher risk of complications, and the virus also has more severe effects on people with underlying medical conditions such as asthma, cardiovascular disease, autoimmune disorders and diabetes, WHO chief Margaret Chan said in a video address.
The last pandemic - the Hong Kong flu of 1968 - killed about 1 million people. Ordinary flu kills about 250,000 to 500,000 people each year.
Swine flu is also continuing to spread during summer in the northern hemisphere. Normally, flu viruses disappear with warm weather, but swine flu is proving to be resilient. A pandemic can last for years.
Perhaps we should petition the government to help find ways to speed up vaccine production and distribution. Obviously we wish to protect our children and we seem to be short on time.
This swine flu shit scares the hell out of me.
ReplyDeleteI believe that Global Warming has a lot to do with it. It is not getting cold enough to kill the germ that gets stronger each year.
If you have notice ,these germs are getting stronger and spreading faster.
You make a good point .I'll look into that.
ReplyDeleteI can't find you ,although I found your post in drafts.
ReplyDelete