CALGARY - A study predicts there will be havoc akin to a big-budget Hollywood disaster movie in the next 1,000 years even if people stop emitting all carbon dioxide into the atmosphere now.
Researchers from the University of Calgary and Environment Canada's climate centre at the University of Victoria say coastal areas will flood and the Earth's land mass will shrink as global sea levels rise by at least four metres.
They also believe parts of North Africa will dry out by up to 30 per cent and ocean warming is likely to trigger widespread collapse of the West Antarctic ice sheet, a region the size of the Canadian Prairies.
"It's probably slower playing than some of the disaster movies," said Shawn Marshall, a geography professor at the University of Calgary who holds the Canada Research Chair in Climate Change.
"We were kind of surprised by the result, actually. Even if we change behaviour and totally change society, we're still in store for a lot of bad scenarios. I feel a bit defeatist about it."
The team used computer modelling to speculate how the world would change by the year 3000 in a "zero emissions" scenario. The results are published in Sunday's advanced online publication of the journal Nature Geoscience. The Northern Hemisphere fares better than the south in the model with patterns of climate change eventually reversing within the 1,000-year time frame in places such as Canada.
"Canada and Russia would fare the best," Marshall said. "I don't think you'll find many people really complaining about a five-degree warming. Canada is in a good position globally — there's no question about that."
The continued heat in Africa will create food shortages, however. "In Africa, it just gets worse, but then other countries like Russia and Canada could get better. It's just a matter of whether we can reach some kind of model of global co-operation." Since zero emissions is not going to happen in the foreseeable future, the researchers also plotted out what will happen if the world keeps a "business as usual" approach.
"If we drop dead with emissions right now, the Arctic sea ice gets worse for another 10 or 20 years but then it comes back — so by 2100 it's back to what we're used to. "If we keep business as usual, the sea ice in the Arctic is mostly gone."
Marshall said the most realistic scenario probably falls somewhere in the middle. He hopes people will take away from the study that serious efforts to cut greenhouse gases need to be made now to mitigate the damage. "There's a lot of legacy in the choices we make this century. We're seeing a lot of the early signs of climate change. If you're looking at a risk analysis, just realize that these changes we're making to the atmosphere do have a long-term effect."
We have this information in painful detail from scientists around the globe; why are we postponing any action at all? I don't understand the attitude. There is no time left to delay. Are we allowing petty politics to endanger our planet even more? Wake up people of earth. This is it; we have no where else to go.
Hi Sweet-cakes, how are you today?
ReplyDeleteI'm doing fine ...how about you ??
ReplyDeleteWe got a nice comment from this Ruby person on SH's , I told her you would welcome her when you log on . I wonder what she wants to ask us .
ReplyDeleteI saw the Ruby comment. I wonder what she wants to know.
ReplyDeleteMy babies had another snow day and hopeful they will go back to school Thursday.
ReplyDeleteHow come the kids can't go to school? You can walk and play in the snow.
ReplyDeleteI don't know , I told her she was welcome to ask , I check the map and she's not from out west , she is in the east of me ..back your way but in the states .
ReplyDeleteWell we will see what she wants.
ReplyDeleteHave the C*****s caused any more trouble for dad or Mae lately?Or has it been too quiet over there.
Any time it gets below freezing the streets ice up , a lot of kids are bussed in .
ReplyDeleteDad says it's just stupid to keep them out , he says these people is is a bunch of pussies .
It has been quiet so far, they are calling Dad wanting to talk , I think they have lost Dad , he makes his mind up and that's it .
ReplyDeleteShirley wants to talk with me , what do you think , I want to see if you and Sis is on the same page .
They all was at the Ball .
ReplyDeleteI hear Betts is back .
Sweetie I'm trying to be good and keep my cool .
Thin blooded pussies. But then if we were exposed to your summer heat for too long we would probably faint.
ReplyDeleteWhy the hell would Betts come back here? Is she with Leon again and what happened to her husband?
ReplyDeleteI think the new cool image fits a CEO perfectly. You can even be a little haughty.
ReplyDeleteNothing can be gained from talking to Shirley. She wants something from you. She wants to use you as a means of getting closer to dad or Gil again or somehow get to her mother. She wants to slither her way back into favor. She will change sides as often as is necessary to get herself in a good place.
ReplyDeleteIt might be amusing to hear her out. That is up to you.
But if Shirley / Betts want's their asses kicked I will be glad to oblige them .
ReplyDeleteWhat's with people do a little money make them crazy ???
I am so glad I was never money hungry .
These fools here have raised all utilities and I feels for the people on fixed incomes and the people that has to but a lot of meds. They put a $5. monthly charge on trash pick-ups.
They are charging us seperately for use of the storm drains now. it used to be part of Municipal taxes. I can't help it if it rains.
ReplyDelete{giggles] Sweetie, have you been talking to Sis, you sounds just like her .Sis says to ignore all of them , because if they stab me once in the back , look out they will do it again .
ReplyDeleteBetts is back with Leon , Gil says he believe he has a yellow rubber band running up his backbone .
Of course they will stab you in the back. And now you are CEO you are a bigger target than before.
ReplyDeleteWe are having a meeting Thursday , I think I will see what she has to say , I will have NAN with me so she can't go back and lie on me .
ReplyDeleteThe CC people thinks I am such a lady .Hahaha . If they only knew .
You are a lady in every way that counts.
ReplyDeleteAt least when she's done talking you can say 'NO' and then tell her never to speak to you again.
The Genie is a 'Genius' thankyou .
ReplyDeleteSis says when I want a fight just pick one with Gil and have fun making up.
ReplyDeleteLeon is made of silly putty; anyone can mould him into anything they want. How did he get that way if he was raised with Gil?
ReplyDeleteI watched Law and Order LA tonight and it was pretty good. I think I could like the people who are regulars on the show.
ReplyDeleteDo you like Hawaii Five 0? Sometimes it's good sometimes not. The little blond guy is James Caan's son.
I don't understand , Dad raised them as his own and they don't know as much about him as you, what a pity .
ReplyDeleteBy the way, thankyou for the 'genius' compiment
ReplyDeleteI know the little blond guy looked familiar , couldn't place him .
ReplyDeleteI think Law & Order will make it , they are better than the CSI's , Hell I forget to watch DC on Sundays.
Awwww I just like to give credit where it's due and you are kinda smart [giggles]
ReplyDeleteDad is a man of many layers. Funny lovable guy, devoted family man, flirt, ruthless but fair businessman and a tough, ballsy guy with a few dark secrets. And he would be merciless if you crossed him or hurt a family member.
ReplyDeleteI asked Dad the same thing ...he said Rosa raised him because he was out druming up business and she told him he was to work hard be a man like his dad and make him proud , Gil said he started work at 12 delievering papers in the hotel , it had 10 floors at thet time .
ReplyDeleteIt was good that Gil was put to work in the business from the bottom up, So he coild relate to anyone who worked in the hotel.
ReplyDeleteThat work ethic builds a more tolerant person.
ReplyDeleteYou are so right, the old man still has many connections.
ReplyDeleteSome guy named Gredo called and asked him was things better ...I asked him who that was and he said just an friend .
I asked him about the book and he said maybe later in maybe a year on sooner , but now he had to wait until Brian is well on the way to recovery.
Rosa caught his must butt and then he want to work in the casino back then he could work at 16 in the casino .
ReplyDeleteMy babies be so glad for Fridays to come so they can get their allowance...
Man is right there with his hand out and Gil asks him what he did so he raise his head up and give him a kiss.
ReplyDeleteWhat do they do with their allowance? Buy candy or books?
ReplyDeleteOh that Man is so cute. For a spontaneous kiss like that I would give him all the coins he wanted.
ReplyDeleteDad is devoted to the little guy.
People have got so mean ...you are scared to let your kids throw papers ...here when they reach 15 they can get a job sacking groceries . Things sure have changed in 15/20 years .
ReplyDeleteIt's a meaner harsher world now, partly because of two bad recessions.
ReplyDeleteThey love going to Walmart they spends some and save the rest to put in the bank...Jonny was so proud to get his own saving book.
ReplyDeleteThey carried what they have once a month sometime they just have a bag of change .
And partly because of the influx of immigrants from all over the world who come from different cultures and backgrounds and who have different sets of values.
ReplyDeleteOur morals have changed too. I think when moral values decline then a lot of our other principles decline.
ReplyDeleteJon's grandson 15 (Gerald) he with stays with Jon , had a paper route and som men chased him for his money but they didn't catch him , thankfully , so now he helps Chris/James doing odds and ends around their realtor business.
ReplyDeleteYou have put a lot of posts on SH lately. That is nice to see. We pick out the more interesting celeb articles. In Oksana's deposition she said that Mel beat her to get aroused. I believe her after hearing the recordings.He is an abuser and controller.
ReplyDeleteYou made a good point about values ...a lot of people don't take time with their kids anymore.I want my kids to be well mannered .
ReplyDeleteI heard the same thing once about Mel I believer he is an abuser and it didn't just start with Oksana ...it's hard for a drunk to get it up ask my sister Susan , she says if it's a piss hard .
ReplyDeleteI can find some good stuff for SH's ...it has got hard to find something here , I get lucky sometime and find something for FTBB...
I didn't know Lilo was bisexual .
Did you hear about the congresswoman getting shot in Arizona , she breathinng on her own now but it's still touch and go .
ReplyDeleteOf course Lilo is bi; she has been out publicly with both men and women.
ReplyDeleteShe doesn't know where she belongs. I sure would never date a bisexual man. You would always wonder who he was with and what he was doing when he was out of your sight.
I heard about the congresswoman but I haven't looked into it. It would be a good story for FTBB
ReplyDeleteHer husband is schedule to go into space in April and his twin brother in in the space station now I think that's what they said about his twin .
ReplyDeleteDid you hear about John Travolta leaving Kelly ??
ReplyDeletePaula Abdul is on Craig. She is not very exciting.
ReplyDeleteI didn't hear about the Travoltas but what would you expect?
ReplyDeleteThey say she is breathing on her own and the little girl was born on 9/11/01 .
ReplyDeleteNow everyone wants to say how crazy he was .
After all the hype about his gayness. And pictures to prove it.
ReplyDeleteWhat I don't get is how the marriage stayed together all these years and how they gave the impression of being so happy.
Paula / Craig both needs a shot of aunt Mae's Vodka ...Duuuuuuull.
ReplyDeletePaula has a dance show now. I don't think it will last too long. There are so many now.
ReplyDeleteHeidi said it so well , they get to love the limelight and will do anything to stay in it .
ReplyDeleteIf it stayed in the dark , they would still be together .
I think some women just have low self esteem .
a lot of women like to be used as door mats .
The Travoltas probably haven 't had much sex. They say her latest pregnancy was by artificial insemination.
ReplyDeleteSweetie ..I hear Man running from Dad's room to our's , that boy is just like his poppa,sleep anywhere he wants . I have a stool and he climbs upon the bed and get under the covers and sing .
ReplyDeleteI don't think I would want his baby .
ReplyDeleteMy fairy cousin is a daddy now but both of them (mother)is bi-sexual.
Kinda nasty don't you think ???
Does that kid have a bed of his own?? if so does he ever sleep in it?? Or maybe he just wakes up in it.
ReplyDeleteIt's got to that time sweetie , the old clock on the wall says it's bout that time .
ReplyDeleteWe better say goodnight or you won't get a spot in your own bed.
ReplyDeleteHe has a bed and you are right he just wakes up in it , he don't care whose bed it is .
ReplyDeleteHahaha look at the two notes for 12:31 .
ReplyDeleteNight Sweetie. Keep it real.Have a good one.
ReplyDeleteSee you in the moonlight with the bats and owls. Enjoy the snow...HA!
I'll be happy to send you more.
Happy dreams,Luv and Hugs...PIc
PS: That is a hoot.We are amazing.
ReplyDeleteSweetie I will say good night and pleasent dreams .
ReplyDeleteGoodnite and have a lot of snuggling with the Rock .
Goodnite HUGS & KISSES ...PIC
Kiss the Rock .